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Rabu, 18 April 2018

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Paperback: 100 pages

Publisher: CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform (April 21, 2018)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 1717268285

ISBN-13: 978-1717268280

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6 x 0.2 x 9 inches

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Sabtu, 14 April 2018

Free Download , by John Blanchard

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File Size: 2573 KB

Print Length: 217 pages

Simultaneous Device Usage: Unlimited

Publisher: Evangelical Press (September 26, 2016)

Publication Date: September 26, 2016

Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC

Language: English

ASIN: B01M1KODQM

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This was a very good exposition on the minor prophets. These books should be known more as the "brief" prophets. Their message was by no means minor. The author calls them the "clean pages" of the Bible, that is, the pages that are seldom read. We used it in our men's group Bible study. God's message through the minor prophets is pretty consistent throughout. A Major Point for each Bible book was helpful so that we could focus in on a unique message in each book. There is quite a bit in the book to connect the prophecies with our current situation. Sometimes, however, the author went on trails that took us a bit too far outside the message of the prophets. There is a tough balance between audience engagement and focus. One other suggestion: He quoted others quite a bit. I would have liked to have citations so that those who were interested could study them further. Another thing I'd suggest for the Kindle edition: Please put page numbers that line up with one of the print editions. That is a common problem with most Kindle books that are used in a study situation.

Great material that is easy to follow yet thoroughly researched and scholarly in content.Easy to copy key passages for reference notes or for teaching/speaking notes.

great help!

Words can not convey the depth of John Blanchard's book of the Major Points from the Minor Prophets. ..he is astounding as he explains the plight of the prophets as his explanations leap off of the pages and into ky heart.

This book met all of my expectation I am using it to teach my class. My students have order this as well.

Blanchard has done it again. This book has helped me immensely in my bible study planning on the minor prophets. His points are clear and understandable. The book printing is a nice size and the text does not cause me eye to strain. Its an easy book to carry around with plenty of margins to write in notes.

I HAVE BEEN FEELING THE URGE TO STUDY THE MINOR PROPHETS (minor in book size not in relationship with God) . THIS BOOK HAS BEEN A GREAT TOOL IN MY STUDY, WELL WRITTEN, MADE ME WANT TO CONTINUE MY MINOR PROPHETS STUDY.

This book does very little in the way of giving information, background, exegetical study, etc. It reads more like a topical sermon where the preacher bases a message in a text from the Minor Prophets then directly launches into the topic without really dealing with a text. this is an easy read and a good read but not the book for you if you're looking to really learn about the Minor Prophets.

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Minggu, 01 April 2018

Free Download Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb


Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb


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Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Review

Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb   “The problem with Taleb is not that he’s an asshole. He is an asshole. The problem with Taleb is that he is right.”—Dan from Prague, Czech Republic (Twitter)   “The most prophetic voice of all . . . [Taleb is] a genuinely significant philosopher . . . someone who is able to change the way we view the structure of the world through the strength, originality and veracity of his ideas alone.”—John Gray, GQ   “Taleb grabs on to core problems that others ignore, or don’t see, and shakes them like an attack dog on a leg.”—Greg from New York (Twitter)   “For my wife and me, Antifragile is an annual reread.”—Colle from Richmond, Virginia (Twitter)   “I read Antifragile four times. First, to get the wisdom to survive. Second, as a memorial statement for Fat Tony. Third, as Das Kapital with correct mathematics. Fourth, as ethics to learn a good way to die.”—Tamitake from Tokyo, Japan (Twitter)   “November . . . time for my annual reread of Antifragile.”—Johann from Vienna, Austria (Twitter)   “[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne.”—The Wall Street Journal

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About the Author

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent twenty-one years as a risk taker before becoming a researcher in philosophical, mathematical, and (mostly) practical problems with probability. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University’s Tandon School of Engineering. His books, part of a multivolume collection called Incerto, have been published in thirty-six languages. Taleb has authored more than fifty scholarly papers as backup to Incerto, ranging from international affairs and risk management to statistical physics. Having been described as “a rare mix of courage and erudition,” he is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

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Product details

Hardcover: 304 pages

Publisher: Random House (February 27, 2018)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 042528462X

ISBN-13: 978-0425284629

Product Dimensions:

6.4 x 1 x 9.5 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.2 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.1 out of 5 stars

324 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#9,343 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

I loved Fooled by Randomness and Black Swan and seriously disliked the Antifragility. I am very glad to say that with the Skin in the Game Taleb is back. Opinionated, at times rude and angry, but someone you feel you should listen to.When I buy books I usually read one star reviews. Some of them are crap (my book arrived with six missing pages!), but some give you a pretty good idea of what you are going to find. There is one star review that gets close to 5000 words limit, followed by the long thread of comments exchange where the replies by the original author get, again, to the said limit. If someone gets that fired up by the book that he regurgitates thousands of words - it's well worth a few bucks and I simply must read it.Anyway, as always with Taleb, I now have a new reading list based on his footnotes. Yes, he comes across as an angry man. Yes, he has irrational dislike of academics (as do I) and policy makers. Yes, some of his statements are contradictory and yes, sometimes he goes too far in his arguments. But this is exactly what makes books worthwhile the time spent reading them. Contradictions have to be sorted, but to do so you have to think about the subject and come to your own conclusions, and this involves effort, and this is what makes books stimulating.I highly recommend this book.

Skin in the Game is at the same time thought-provoking and original but also contradictory and sometimes absurd.Let’s start with the cons:1. I certainly won’t be the first to notice that Taleb can be mean-spirited. But why does he insist on presenting his views in this way? The communication of his ideas, often profound, does not require a mean-spirited or condescending tone. For however brilliant Taleb thinks he is, his skills in persuasion are severely lacking; he’s alienating a significant readership that may have otherwise been more receptive to his ideas.Not very far into the book we see Taleb take cheap shots at Steven Pinker, out of nowhere, discussing a topic that has nothing to do with any of Pinker’s actual ideas or positions. One wonders why Taleb cannot just present his ideas without the incessant personal attacks and condescension.2. His overall philosophy appears to be self-refuting. He reviles “intellectuals,” professors, and thinkers while praising “doers” and men of practice. He’s particularly distrustful of those who give advice for a living. Here’s Taleb:“Avoid taking advice from someone who gives advice for a living, unless there is a penalty for their advice.”So should we then ignore THIS advice? As far as I can tell, Skin in the Game is a work of philosophy, an intellectual exercise that argues against the value of intellectual exercise. This is the same self-refuting logic of relativism—in that the statement “everything is relative” is self-refuting because the statement itself needs to be absolute.If Taleb is wrong in any part of his philosophy it doesn’t appear that he would incur any penalty (no skin in the game). The upside for him is book sales with little to no downside risk, so by using his own logic we should conclude to not trust him.Also, to the extent that you believe ideas have power you might find yourself disagreeing with Taleb’s extreme position that no good ideas could possibly come from someone in an academic position (particularly from the reviled economists).Except that Taleb uses economic theories to frame his thinking. The Tragedy of the Commons, something Taleb discusses in his book, was developed by the economist William Forster Lloyd in his armchair. Even Taleb’s Black Swan concept is a reformulation of the Peso problem developed by...economists.I’m sure anyone can think up examples, rather easily, of useful ideas that were discovered by intellectuals or from university research.3. Taleb obsesses about the superiority of practice over academics and theory. This is a questionable proposition.As just one example, a recent study in the American Journal of Medicine concluded that “patients whose doctors had practiced for at least 20 years stayed longer in the hospital and were more likely to die compared to those whose doctors got their medical license in the past five years.”My own personal experience corroborates this, as a medical student was able to correctly diagnose what the attending physician had missed on a trip to the ER. Very experienced, practical individuals sometimes perpetuate bad habits and fail to keep informed of the theories and academics that lead to better practice. This point is completely lost on Taleb.4. Taleb’s definition of rationality as any action that promotes survival is patently false, as a simple thought experiment can show. Imagine a hypothetical survival machine is available for your use. By plugging yourself in, it will guarantee and maximize your life span and, on a social scale, maximizes reproduction. The price is that the machine also inflicts a high degree of pain and cuts you off from contact with other people.According to the logic of Taleb, the rational thing to do would be to plug into this machine. Of course, no one would volunteer to do this because survival is not what motivates rational behavior. Any rational agent would choose one year of pleasant life over 100 years in the survival machine, because actions have value according to how they promote or are perceived to promote well-being or pleasure.Taleb, using this more believable definition of rationality, could have used it to argue the same points, namely how religious belief cannot be called irrational if it promotes well-being, which includes psychological well-being and survival but not survival alone.The pros:That Taleb is antagonistic and holds some questionable views does not mean that he’s wrong about everything. When not being demeaning or taking extreme positions, Taleb writes about some of the most original, thought-provoking, and profound ideas. And even when you find yourself disagreeing with him, he makes you think. For this reason alone, the book is worth checking out.The idea that the extent of people’s stakes in particular outcomes is a critical yet underrated determinant of events is a profound idea with several implications, which Taleb skillfully explores throughout the book. And his idea that you should have to pay some kind of penalty for decisions that negatively impact others—risk sharing vs. risk transfer—is a solid framework for thinking about a host of issues. Of course, these ideas would be easier to swallow if presented with a little more humility, but I suppose we should know what to expect from Taleb by now.

If you hate BS, this is the book for you. Stop being "bullied" for what you think by academics and journalists who have no skin in the game. They have nothing to lose by being wrong (Think Viet Nam, Syrian, the 2008 economic melt down). Trust the do-ers who suffer the consequences for being wrong ( business people who take risks), This book has to be studied. It follows from Mr. Taleb's previous work which provides the science and mathematics behinds this work. It requires a "deep dive" and understanding. A casual book reviewer or journalist would not have an easy time reviewing this book. Be prepared to study, the results are very rewarding not matter what your field of interest.

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